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RaboResearch projects Brazilian fertiliser demand falling to 47.2 million tonnes in 2026, down from 49.1 million last year, as the Middle East war raises costs. Brazil imports about 90% of its fertiliser, and global supplies are forecast to hit a record low.
Lower Brazilian fertiliser use could cut yields in a major corn and soy exporter, while tight global supply keeps input costs high, supporting grain prices.
valorinternational.globo.comCibelle BouçasApr 14, 2026After 76 past bullish report events, Urea moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.2% to +2.9%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 66 past bullish report events, DAP moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.7%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
