
The Malaysian Palm Oil Council expects crude palm oil prices to hold around RM4,500 per tonne near term, supported by biodiesel economics, elevated crude prices and possible El Nino. It warned gains may be capped by softer export demand and rising seasonal stocks.
Biodiesel mandates in Malaysia and Indonesia add demand for palm oil, but weaker importing-country demand and seasonal stock builds limit upside.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.