LMC International chairman James Fry says CPO prices can keep rising if producer governments, notably through CPOPC, coordinate biodiesel mandate increases. Indonesia's B30 allocations for 2020 would lift its biodiesel demand to 8.5 million tonnes.
Fry also noted Thailand's biodiesel output has risen each year since 2017.
Expanding and coordinated biodiesel mandates add structural demand for palm oil, supporting the price uptrend as stocks decline.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.