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CF Industries and Nutrien are expected to post combined first-quarter net income of about $619 million, up from $388 million a year earlier, according to LSEG data. The gains reflect higher nitrogen prices after Middle East gas disruptions tightened global supply.
Tighter Middle East nitrogen exports favor North American producers with cheaper gas inputs, supporting nitrogen fertilizer prices and farm input costs for feed producers.
reuters.comSumit SahaMay 4, 2026After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 162 past geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.2% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.0% to +7.5%), and +4.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
