
The rand rebounded as signs of progress toward a US-Iran peace agreement lifted global risk appetite and emerging-market assets. The currency traded near 16.43 per dollar, about 1.5% stronger, while oil fell below $110 a barrel.
Lower oil prices and improved risk sentiment strengthen the rand and ease energy-linked inflation pressure. Falling crude could also reduce biofuel and input-cost support for feed commodities.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.