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Oil prices settled about 5% lower, reaching their lowest level in over a month, after reports of a draft US-Iran deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Investors were awaiting updates on the peace talks.
Demand signals also weakened, with India's two largest airlines sharply cutting planned domestic flights.
A draft agreement to reopen Hormuz eases supply concerns and lowers crude prices, which reduces energy input costs for feed manufacturers. Weaker jet fuel demand in India adds further downside pressure.
reuters.comArathy SomasekharMay 27, 2026After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
May 27 settlement about 5% lower on reports of a draft US-Iran deal to reopen Hormuz, plus weaker Indian airline demand, falls directly within the window's end and drove the drop.
