AAFC Updates 2026-27 Crop Price Projections with Gains in Canola and Wheat, Declines in Pulses and Specialty Seeds

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.

After 52 past bullish report events, OATS moved a median -2.0% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -3.4% to +2.4%), and +0.7% over 20.

• May 25, 2026Hursh: Noticable changes in AAFC crop price projections - SaskToday.ca-2.0%
• Jul 22, 2026Oat price upheaval unlikely, despite tightening supply in 2026-27 - Grainews-5.9%
• Aug 1, 2026Oat price upheaval unlikely, despite tightening supply in 2026-27+0.2%
• Dec 3, 2021StatsCan Canola, Wheat Production Numbers Drop-2.9%
• May 16, 2023Another large wheat crop expected in Canada-7.7%

After 769 past bullish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.

• May 21, 2024AAFC raises canola carryout projections, wheat to tighten - Grainews-7.2%
• Oct 12, 20222022 Grains, oilseeds, and pulses outlook update: Canada’s low stocks and dollar to strengthen crop prices | FCC+3.6%
• Jun 29, 2017World Wheat Production to Decline in 2017/18 - U.S. Wheat Associates+2.3%
• May 4, 20212021 Grains, oilseeds, and pulses outlook update: Tight stocks and uncertain demand | FCC+5.0%
• Jul 30, 2021A new decline in crop forecasts for the US, Canada and Russia continued to raise wheat prices+1.6%