
Wall Street banks including JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley and BNY Mellon are forecasting the euro could fall more than 3% to $1.10 within a year. The euro has slumped to a one-year low this month as markets price a Federal Reserve hike in 2026 and no longer fully price one from the ECB.
A firmer dollar on widening US-euro rate expectations tends to weigh on dollar-denominated grain, oilseed and feed prices while making US exports less competitive. Feed buyers in euro-linked markets may see import costs shift.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.