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The euro shrugged off the European Central Bank's most hawkish messaging in more than a decade and its planned exit from negative borrowing costs. The currency then fell on Friday, breaking below $1.06 for the first time in nearly two decades.
Traders doubt the ECB can tighten enough to support the euro against the dollar, so a weaker euro raises the dollar cost of euro-zone feed imports and keeps dollar strength in focus for US export pricing.
bloomberg.comAmelia Pollard, Greg RitchieJun 9, 2022After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Market skepticism about the ECB's hike plans meant the hawkish messaging failed to support the euro, which broke below $1.06 and started the slide.
