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Commerzbank says European and Asian heatwaves will raise electricity demand and gas-fired power use, complicating European storage refills. An explosion at Qatar's LNG complex may delay the ramp-up to 80% of pre-war exports.
Delayed Qatari LNG recovery and heat-driven gas demand keep energy and nitrogen costs elevated through summer, supporting fertilizer and feed input prices.
fxstreet.comFXStreet Insights TeamJun 23, 2026After 136 past bullish geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.7% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -1.8% to +8.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
