
Itafos CEO David Delaney says the sulfur shortage is worsening and could last into 2027. He states roughly 45% of globally traded sulfur is stuck behind the Strait of Hormuz, pushing delivered sulfur to $1,000-1,200 per ton.
He also flagged possible Houthi blockade of Bab-el-Mandeb.
Sulfur costs near $1,000+ per ton make phosphate production largely uneconomic, which tightens DAP and MAP supply and supports higher phosphate prices into the coming seasons.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 114 past bullish geopolitics events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.2%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Worsening sulfur shortage with about 45% of traded sulfur stuck behind Hormuz and delivered prices of $1,000-1,200/t raises phosphate production costs and constrains DAP supply, supporting a price jump.