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USDA Crop Progress data as of July 12 show oat harvest had not begun in Minnesota, North Dakota or Pennsylvania. Minnesota planted 200,000 acres, down from last year, and North Dakota planted 355,000 acres, up.
Oat harvest timing and crop condition data are routine; the acreage mix only marginally affects supply expectations.
After 35 past neutral report events, OATS moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.5%), and -1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.