
Manitoba cost-of-production data for 2020 ranks corn as the most profitable large-acre crop but also the highest insurance risk, with oats seen as the safest option. Both crops are described as likely profitable on the eastern Prairies.
Profitability comparisons may shift spring acreage between oats and corn, but the effect on prices is modest.
After 35 past neutral report events, Oats moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.5%), and -1.2% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.