
Heat stress is reducing milk output and components in the US and sharply cutting weekly collections in Europe, particularly France and the UK. Spot milk has tightened, cream multiples have risen, but global milk output remains robust, and the GDT price index fell 4.9%, its third straight decline.
Heat-driven output losses are tightening spot milk and cream, yet robust global supply and falling GDT prices keep the broader dairy price outlook soft for dairy feed demand.
After 42 past weather events, MILK moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.5%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.