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Plantation analysts say El Niño's effect on Malaysian palm output will likely lag, with 2026 volumes holding and the supply hit arriving in 2027. Indonesia's B50 mandate would absorb about 35% of its own crude palm oil.
Higher prices are expected to benefit upstream producers while raising costs for downstream refiners.
Expected tighter supply and B50 demand in 2027 point to higher crude palm oil prices, with refiners facing higher feedstock costs.
thestar.com.myDANIEL KHOOAug 25, 2026After 180 past bullish weather events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
