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Brazilian farmers face higher phosphate fertilizer costs for the 2026/27 season as Brazil's fertilizer deliveries fell 5.4% in the first half of 2026. Sulfur above $1,000/t, Chinese export restrictions and logistics disruptions are tightening supply, and some Minas Gerais and Goiás capacity has been idled.
Brazilian buyers are securing phosphate early to cover tight supply, which supports DAP, MAP and TSP prices and can add to Brazil's import demand.
agrospectrumasia.comSep 28, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 11 past bullish disease events, DAP moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half 0.0% to +3.3%), and +2.9% over 20.
After 156 past neutral events of any kind, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
