
CRU reports OCP cut Moroccan phosphate capacity by up to 50 percent through the second quarter of 2026 due to sulfur shortages and deteriorating sulfur availability. Mosaic also curtailed operations at three US and Brazil locations.
Middle East sulfur exports have fallen by over 1.0 million tonnes monthly since March.
Sulfur is the binding input for sulfuric acid used in phosphate fertilizer, so curtailed phosphate output tightens DAP/MAP supply and supports phosphate and feed-phosphate prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 11 past bullish disease events, DAP moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half 0.0% to +3.3%), and +2.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.