
The Mexican peso weakened further as USD/MXN reached about 17.50, its highest in nearly two months, on September 23. The US Dollar Index rose above 101 after strong US PMI data and Fed speakers signaled more tightening.
Markets priced in roughly 93 basis points of Fed tightening by the end of 2027.
A stronger dollar makes US commodity exports cheaper for foreign buyers but raises Mexican import costs for feed. Fed tightening expectations drive this move rather than any change in crop supply.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.