
The Mexican peso slid to its weakest level since April on September 24, with USD/MXN trading near 17.75 after Banxico held its benchmark rate at 6.50%. Banxico said policy would not mechanically follow Fed moves, and Mexican headline inflation came in above forecasts.
Hawkish Fed speakers raised expectations of further US rate hikes.
Peso weakness raises the local-currency cost of dollar-priced feed imports into Mexico, while a firmer dollar tends to pressure dollar-denominated commodity prices. The effect on ag prices is modest.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.