
The peso rose to 18.41 per dollar on October 15 after US September PPI surged to 6.3% year on year, above the 5.3% forecast. Odds of an October Fed hike fell to 26%, while December hike odds stayed near 92%.
Hotter inflation keeps US rate-hike expectations high, which supports the dollar and pressures dollar-priced grain and meal export values, though the peso's move was modest.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.