The Mexican peso strengthened against the dollar on Friday after US core PCE inflation for March came in above expectations, while Mexico posted a seasonally adjusted trade deficit but a lower unemployment rate. Broad gains in US equities supported risk sentiment.
Hot US inflation lifts expectations of higher-for-longer Fed rates, which supports the dollar, but the peso's gains offset this for Mexican buyers. The effect on feed commodity prices is limited.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.