
The peso fell about 0.9% to 18.14 per dollar on October 8 after a tech selloff and weaker OpenAI revenue reports hit US equities. Mexico's September headline inflation rose to 3.45%, slightly below forecasts, while Banxico minutes flagged upside inflation risks.
Risk-off moves and firmer US data strengthen the dollar against emerging-market currencies, which can pressure dollar-priced commodity export prices and raise Mexican import costs.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.