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Bloomberg surveyed seven analysts and estimates Indonesian and Malaysian palm oil output will fall about 3% in 2027 due to prolonged El Niño dryness depressing yields. Output is forecast at 49 million tons in Indonesia and 19.5 million tons in Malaysia.
A lower 2027 palm supply from the two largest producers tightens global vegetable oil supply and supports prices, which feeds into palm-based and competing oil prices for feed buyers.
bloomberg.comKanupriya Kapoor, Mary HuiOct 1, 2026After 181 past bullish weather events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, SBO moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
