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Malaysian palm oil hit a four-year high this week as lower output into early next year and tight soybean oil supplies lifted prices. Higher US and Indonesian biodiesel mandates are expected to further draw down palm oil inventories, with Indonesia and Malaysia output forecast to fall nearly 5% in 2016.
Tighter palm supply and rising biodiesel demand in the US and Indonesia support palm oil prices in the short term. Recovery from El Niño is expected to be gradual, so supply constraints may persist into the second half of next year.
businesstimes.com.sgNov 24, 2016After 181 past bullish weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
