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Ag Optimus compared USDA's September 2026 WASDE with trade estimates, finding corn yield at 178.5 bu/ac and corn carryout at 1.567 billion bushels above consensus. Soybean yield rose to 52.8 bu/ac and soybean carryout was 310 million bushels, with all six headline supply figures above estimates.
Supply figures above consensus across corn and soybeans indicate a looser balance than the trade expected, which is bearish for feed grain and meal prices.
agoptimus.commatt@optimusfutures.comSep 11, 2026After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
