
The EU JRC MARS bulletin says the 2026 summer crop season is closing with harvesting well advanced and EU yield forecasts below the five-year average for most crops. Persistent low soil moisture in western, central and south-eastern Europe is hampering rapeseed emergence and winter cereal establishment, while excessive rain has delayed sowing in the Baltic states and Finland.
Below-average EU yields and weak winter crop establishment tighten the European feed grain and rapeseed meal outlook, supporting prices for imported substitutes.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.