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Xeneta's chief analyst says the US 'Liberation Day' tariffs of April 2 are unprecedented in scale and will reshape global trade, though some tariffs have been paused for 90 days and EU retaliation is on hold. Tariffs on Chinese goods and China's retaliatory duties remain in place, clouding container shipping demand outlook.
Broad US tariffs and retaliation threaten agricultural export demand and shipping volumes, adding uncertainty that tends to weigh on feed grain and oilseed prices and freight rates.
ajot.comStuart ToddApr 21, 2025Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 13 past neutral trade events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -0.7% to +0.1%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
