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Global grain markets remain largely stable in the second week of the US and Israel military campaign against Iran. Analysts warn rising freight and fertilizer costs could pressure supply chains if the conflict continues.
Suez and Hormuz are not yet major grain bottlenecks, but shipping costs are climbing at both ends of the chain.
Higher freight and fertilizer costs squeeze origin and delivered margins, and a longer conflict could feed through to grain and feed prices.
agrolatam.comAgroLatam U.SMar 9, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
