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The European Commission opened an investigation into suspected evasion of EU countervailing duties on Indonesian biodiesel routed through China and the UK. The probe followed a request from the European Biodiesel Board, and Indonesia has filed a WTO complaint.
Enforcement against trade circumvention could reduce Indonesian biodiesel flows into Europe, weakening demand for palm oil used in biodiesel.
After 158 past bearish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.