
Indonesia's energy ministry is considering a 45% biodiesel blend (B45) as an interim step because feasibility studies for the mandatory 50% blend (B50) planned for 2026 are incomplete. Officials said B40 demand is exceeding projections.
A possible delay of B50 in favor of B45 reduces the expected rise in domestic palm oil use for biodiesel, which would weigh on palm oil demand and prices, while strong B40 demand provides partial support.
After 400 past bearish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.