
GAPKI says implementation of B50 could raise domestic CPO and fresh fruit bunch prices by tightening supply available for export. The association warns the benefit could be reduced if the government raises the CPO export levy again to fund the biodiesel program.
Reduced exports would tighten global vegetable oil supply and support prices, but a higher export levy would offset gains for farmers and exporters.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.