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Indonesian-language report from APOLIN says the government confirmed CPO and derivative export levies take effect January 1, 2020, alongside the B30 biodiesel mandate. GAPKI's secretary general expects a near-certain price correction for global CPO after the levy, though its size is uncertain.
Industry expects demand shifts from India and the EU, and possible substitution toward soybean oil.
Confirmation of the levy and B30 together tightens domestic palm supply for biodiesel and may lift export prices, while possible switching to soybean oil supports soy oil demand. A near-certain CPO correction is expected once the levy takes effect.
apolin.orgOffice APOLINDec 26, 2019After 513 past neutral policy events, Palm Oil moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
