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A CoBank report estimates that meeting 2030 renewable diesel targets would require crushing 3.4 billion more bushels of soybeans. That would mean ending U.S. soybean exports and planting 17.9 million more acres of soybeans, mostly taken from corn.
If renewable diesel demand absorbs soybean supply, export flows fall and domestic crush rises, which lifts soybean and soybean oil prices while pressuring export demand. Analysts question whether the scenario is realistic.
producer.comSean PrattOct 3, 2022After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
