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The Wall Street Journal reports that EPA's proposal to mandate less biomass-based diesel through 2025 has stalled the soybean oil market. Soybean oil futures fell more than 15% in one week after the December proposal, and about 44% of US soybean oil output is expected to go to biofuels.
Reduced biofuel mandates cut the expected use of soybean oil, which lowers oil prices and weakens the value share of oil in the soybean crush.
specialtyfood.comMar 20, 2023After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 554 past neutral policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
