The American Soybean Association said EPA's draft set rule proposing 2023 to 2025 renewable volume obligations is deeply disappointing because it significantly slows annual volume increases. The group argues the rule ignores investment in biomass-based diesel.
Slower mandate growth reduces expected demand for soybean oil in biodiesel and renewable diesel, which is bearish for soybean oil and soybean crush margins.
After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, Soybeans moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.