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Biodiesel plants are shutting down or considering idling because the Treasury has not issued 45Z clean fuel credit regulations. Producers say selling at current prices would mean large losses, and some plants have already stopped.
The Clean Fuels Alliance estimates 25% to 75% of the industry could idle by year-end or January without guidance.
Idling biomass-based diesel plants would cut soybean oil demand, and the trade group estimates a 25% shutdown would remove about 250 million pounds of soyoil use, which is bearish for soyoil and soybeans.
governorsbiofuelscoalition.orgOct 28, 2024After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
