Loading…
Reuters reports that EPA's record biofuel targets require soybean-based biodiesel producers to boost output by over 60% this year. Industry groups warn that feedstock, supply and capacity constraints could make the targets hard to meet, raising credit market volatility risk.
Fuel prices had surged during the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran when the targets were set in late March.
Higher required biodiesel output would lift demand for soybean oil and crush, supporting soy complex prices, while unmet targets could push up RIN credit prices and create volatility.
reuters.comSiddharth CavaleApr 30, 2026After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 206 past neutral policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.8%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
