
Soybean oil prices reached their highest level in more than three years as crude oil surged. North American soy crush margins widened, and analysts expect Bunge and ADM to raise 2026 profit guidance following an EPA biofuel mandate.
Higher crude prices and biofuel mandates boost soybean oil demand, lifting crush margins and processor returns. Strong oil demand supports soybean prices, though high costs and interest rates limit further crush expansion.
After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 438 past bullish policy events, WTI moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.