An international trade advisory outlines four Section 301 tariff lists on Chinese imports, dating from 2018, with rates as high as 25%. It notes that the tariffs have been challenged at the WTO and in the Court of International Trade and may be revisited due to inflation and a sunset review.
Possible changes to Section 301 tariffs could alter the cost of Chinese imports and the terms of US farm export access, but the advisory gives no specific decision that moves commodity prices.
After 1,905 past policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.8%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,623 past policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 734 past policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.6%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.