
China's Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs published its 2024-2033 Agricultural Outlook Report, which projects production, consumption and trade. The report says 2023 soybean output hit a record and corn production rose 4.2% to 289 million tons.
Its projections point to a generally optimistic supply picture.
Higher projected domestic output of corn and soybeans implies lower future Chinese import needs, which is bearish for global corn and soybean export demand.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.