US agricultural exports/imports threatened by Trump trade actions

After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Nov 1, 2024China pivot from US farm imports bolsters it against trade war risks | Reuters+3.4%
• Jul 20, 2018Trump threatens tariffs on all $500 billion of Chinese imports+1.8%
• Jun 9, 2026China's role in US agriculture isn't what it used to be | Reuters+0.3%
• Aug 10, 2018China expects its U.S. agricultural imports to fall sharply - Grainews-0.3%
• Jul 11, 2018Trade War Repercussions for U.S. Agriculture-1.5%

After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Jun 16, 2026US, Mexican officials to discuss agriculture, energy as Trump casts doubt on trade deal | Reuters-0.8%
• Nov 1, 2024China pivot from US farm imports bolsters it against trade war risks | Reuters+2.5%
• Jul 20, 2018Trump threatens tariffs on all $500 billion of Chinese imports-1.7%
• Nov 7, 2024Trump's tariff threat puts US farm exports to China at risk-0.1%
• Nov 18, 2016Trump's tough talk on China risks impacting agriculture and food trade+2.1%

After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.

• May 11, 2023Explainer: Have Western sanctions on Russia impacted its wheat exports? | Reuters-1.1%
• Aug 23, 2023US wheat exports expected to hit 52-year low | Agriculture Dive-4.8%
• Jun 24, 2024Improved U.S. Wheat Price Competitiveness Helps Drive Exports | USDA Foreign Agricultural Service-6.8%
• Jul 4, 2019Australian Agriculture Sector Likely To Get Impacted From The U.S-China Trade Truce-1.2%
• Mar 4, 2025China announces new duties on US agricultural imports as US tariffs take effect - Fastmarkets+0.1%