Loading…
Market participants said China's decision to impose countertariffs on US farm products from March 10 would have limited impact on its grain and oilseed imports. China has already been cutting its reliance on US supplies and has shifted purchases to Australia, Canada, Russia and Argentina.
Traders said China has not bought US wheat for months and has a large domestic wheat crop.
US sales to China are a smaller share of its imports than before, so the tariffs are unlikely to shift global wheat or corn prices much. US soybean exports face the most exposure, which could weigh on US soybean prices relative to Brazil.
spglobal.comMar 4, 2025After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 206 past neutral trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 480 past neutral trade events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
