
USDA data cited by Nikkei show China has placed no orders for U.S. corn and soybeans since January 16, 2025. Trump's tariffs on Chinese goods reached up to 145%, prompting a 125% Chinese tariff on U.S. products.
The absence of Chinese orders and the prohibitive tariff rates reduce export demand for U.S. grains and push U.S. prices lower relative to competitors.
After 803 past bearish trade events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.