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China has imposed a 23% tariff on US oilseed exports, and its soybean imports from the US fell 19.5% year over year in April-June. Buyers are shifting purchases toward Brazil, where robust South American output is weighing on prices.
Tariff-driven diversion of Chinese demand to Brazil keeps US soybean export demand weak and pressures soybean prices, while ample South American supply caps rallies.
spglobal.comJul 21, 2025After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
