
Grain markets rallied on May 18 after the White House fact sheet said China would buy an additional $17 billion of U.S. farm products annually. Corn settled 4.7% higher, wheat rose across Kansas City, Minneapolis and Chicago, and July soybeans and soybean oil gained.
The rally reflects expectations of firmer Chinese demand for U.S. grains and oilseeds, lifting futures across the complex.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 102 past bullish trade events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.0% to +3.5%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
White House fact sheet on May 18 said China would buy an extra $17B of US farm products annually, and corn settled 4.7% higher, directly driving the move.