
An IFPRI analysis estimates Ukraine's infrastructure damage at about 127 billion dollars as of September 2022, and reports mounting losses to Ukrainian agricultural output. It says many farmers face bankruptcy and that war-related production shortfalls keep world agricultural prices volatile.
Lower Ukrainian output and export capacity tighten global wheat and corn supply, supporting prices and volatility for feed buyers.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.