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The EU plans to cut Ukrainian wheat and sugar imports by 70-80% under new quotas. The measure would restrict Ukrainian grain access to the European market.
Reduced access for Ukrainian wheat to the EU redirects supply toward other origins and may firm feed grain prices in importing markets.
After 182 past bullish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.