
Ukraine's Ministry of Agrarian Policy plans to sign a memorandum with grain market participants in October capping wheat exports at 25 million tons. The cap would also cover corn, and officials discussed a split between milling and feed wheat.
The ministry estimates about 24.4 million tons of grain could be exported.
A planned export cap on Ukrainian wheat and corn restricts supply from a major exporter and supports world prices. Feed buyers face tighter corn and wheat availability if the limit is enforced.
After 182 past bullish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.