EXCLUSIVE: Russian grain lobby says Kyiv's attacks threaten Black Sea exports, global food security

After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.

• Jun 15, 2026Focus: Russian attacks could cut Ukraine grain exports by a third | Reuters+3.6%
• Jun 19, 2026Rising Attacks on Ukrainian Black Sea Ports Threaten Grain Export Capacity and Global Supply | Tridge Insights-1.6%
• Jun 1, 2023Ukraine says Russia again blocking Black Sea grain export deal | Reuters-3.6%
• Sep 11, 2026How Do the Latest Black Sea Attacks Affect Global Food Security?-1.3%
• Oct 1, 2026War Throttles Black Sea Grain Exports, Threatening Food Supplies-2.9%

After 94 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.7% to +5.8%), and +0.1% over 20.

• Jul 17, 2023Black Sea grain deal expires after Russia quits | Reuters+6.3%
• Jul 27, 2026Black Sea grain trapped as Russia, Ukraine attacks continue | World Grain-2.9%
• Sep 3, 2026EXCLUSIVE: Asian buyers turn to Australian, Argentine wheat amid Black Sea disruptions | Reuters-1.3%
• Feb 26, 2022Black Sea Grain Export Disruptions Won't Be Easy to Replace, Analyst Says+35.4%
• Apr 18, 2023Ukraine says vital Black Sea crop exports remain disrupted | Air Freight News-6.4%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.