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Argentine farmers are planting the smallest soybean area in 15 years, with soybean hectares falling while Brazil's expand. Export taxes of 33% on soybeans and 31% on meal and oil, compared with 12% on corn, make soybeans less profitable than corn.
Political uncertainty over future export measures also weighs on planting decisions.
A shrinking Argentine soybean area reduces the country's share of global meal and oil exports, which are a major supply source for feed buyers. That tightens the soy complex and supports prices.
soybeansandcorn.comNov 1, 2021After 356 past bullish policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 172 past bullish policy events, SBM moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
